horse racing

The King’s Stand Stakes is the second race of day 1 of the Royal Ascot meeting. Run over 5 furlongs, it was promoted to a group 1 class in 2008. In the past 10 years the race has been dominated by overseas runners with 7 of the last 10 winners being trained outside of Britain and Ireland.

 

Below we take a look at the trends for the past 10 years:

 

Age (Win-Place-Runners)

3yo: 1-3-34

4yo: 2-6-44

5yo: 2-5-36

6yo: 3-3-33

7yo+: 2-1-21

8yo+: 0-2-16

Horses aged 3 or 4 have a combined record of 3-9-78

Horses aged 5 or older have a record of 7-11-106

Nothing major to be gleaned from the age stats. The two 3yo winners since 2000 had both won or placed in a group race as 2yos.

No horse aged over 7 has won this in past 40 years.

 

Gender

Fillies & mares (1-5-34) have won 1 of last 10 from approximately 18.5% of total runners.

 

Breeding

Australian bred: 4-3-14

French bred: 3-0-7

GB bred: 1-10-78

Irish bred: 1-6-64

New Zealand bred: 1-0-4

South African bred: 0-1-3

American bred: 0-0-14

Horses bred in Australia & New Zealand: 5-3-18

Horse bred in GB & Ireland: 2-16-142

3 of 7 French bred horses to run in this have been successful, though Equiano accounted for 2 of those wins.

 

Recent/Past Form

9 of 10 winners had run 2 to 4 times that year

9 of 10 winners had won a race that year

8 of 10 winners (last 8) finished in first 2 last time out (2 exceptions finished 4th in group 2 and 6th in group 1)

8 of 10 winners posted an RPR of 116+ last time out

10 of 10 winners had posted an RPR of 116+ earlier that year

8 of 10 winners had won a group race (1 exception was a listed winner and other had twice been placed in a group 2)

5 of 10 winners had won a group 1 sprint (3 others finished in first 6 in a group 1 sprint the previous season and other 2 had not run in a group 1 sprint prior to this)

10 of 10 winners had won over 6F

9 of 10 winners had won over 5F (exception runner-up in a 5F group 2)

2 of 3 British-trained winners had won at Ascot (other was placed in a group 2 and Wokingham here)

 

Other Races

Newmarket Handicap winner (Shamexpress): 111 (3-0-3)

Palace House Stakes winner (Sole Power): 340010 (1-1-6)

Coral Charge Sprint Stakes winner (Caledonia Lady): 1006 (1-0-4)

Scarborough Stakes winner (Sole Power): 0001 (1-0-4)

Temple Stakes winner (Kingsgate Native): 003682 (0-2-6)

Middle Park Stakes winner (Reckless Abandon): 3 (0-1-1)

Al Quoz Sprint winner (Shea Shea): 9 (0-0-1)

Previous season's Cornwallis Stakes winner (Bungle In thejungle): 500 (0-0-3)

Dubai Duty Free Handicap winner (Heerat): 099 (0-0-3)

SIS Sprint winner (Taajub): 004 (0-0-3)

Betfred TV Conditions Stakes winner (Spirit Quartz): 070 (0-0-3)

Rous Stakes winner (Doc Hay): 0070 (0-0-4)

Dubai World Trophy winner (Swiss Spirit): 0700 (0-0-4)

Prix du Gros Chene winner (Spirit Quartz): 8700 (0-0-4)

4 of 4 Australian-trained winners ran in Newmarket Handicap last time, finishing 6111

4 of 4 Australian-trained winners ran in Lightning Stakes, finishing 1111

3 of 4 Australian-trained winners ran in the Oakleigh Plate, finishing 335

2 of 4 Australian-trained winners ran in Patinack Farm Classic, finishing 17

2 of 4 Australian-trained winners ran in Salinger Stakes, finishing 43

3 of 10 winners ran in the Prix Du Gros-Chene last time, finishing 422

3 of 10 winners ran in the Prix De Saint-Georges, finishing 214

3 of 3 British-trained winners ran in previous Abbaye, finishing 306

2 of 3 British-trained winners ran in Temple Stakes, finishing 23

2 of 3 British-trained winners ran in previous season's Wokingham, finishing 30

2 of 3 British-trained winners ran in Palace House Stakes, finishing 19

2 of 3 British-trained winners ran in World Trophy, finishing 53

 

Trainers

Australian trained: 4-3-15

British trained runners: 3-13-142

Hong Kong trained: 1-2-6

Spanish trained: 1-0-1

French trained runners: 1-0-5

Irish trained runners: 0-2-6

South African trained: 0-0-2

American trained: 0-0-3

Other: 0-0-2

Record of horses trained in Britain & Ireland: 3-15-148

Record of horses trained outside Britain & Ireland: 7-5-36

Australian based trainers (4-3-15) have best record of the foreign trainers winning 4 of last 10.

Robert Cowell (1-0-4) trained Prohibit to win this in 2011 and he is only trainer with an entrant that has won this since 2003.

John Gosden (0-1-1), Roger Charlton (0-1-2), Eddie Lynam (0-1-2) and Danny O’Brien (0-1-2) have all saddled a placed finisher in past 10 years.

 

Draw (excluding 2005 when run at York)

Horses drawn 1 to 8: 3-5-72

Horses drawn 9 to 15: 6-7-58

Horses drawn 16 or higher: 0-6-38

Horses drawn between stalls 10 and 15 have won 6 of last 9 runnings of this at Ascot.

 

Price

7 of 10 winners were sent off 8/1 or shorter

There has only been one winner priced above 12/1 in past 9 renewals.

Favourites (2-3-12) have won just 2 of last 10, giving a level stakes loss of 2.25.

 

Summary:

Based on the trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:

·         Aged 4 to 7 (or a 3yo that won/placed in a group race as a 2yo)

·         Bred in Australia, New Zealand or France

·         Run 2 to 4 times in 2013 (winning at least once)

·         Finished in first 2 last time (posting RPR of 116+)

·         Previously won over 5F and 6F

·         Won a group race (preferably a group 1)

·         Finished in first 4 in Prix de Saint-Georges

·         Ran in Prix du Gros-Chene, Temple Stakes or Newmarket H’cap last time

·         Trained outside of GB & Ire, especially Australian or Hong Kong based

·         Course winner and ran in 2012 Abbaye if trained in GB & Ire

·         Drawn in stalls 10 to 15